ミクロ実証分析ワークショップ 2020
Empirical Micro Research Seminar 2020
- ※ 2021年2月17日
- ※ 特に表記のない限りセミナー発表は英語で行われます（Unless otherwise mentioned, presentations are in ENGLISH）。
Zoomを利用したオンライン開催について （Online Seminars Using Zoom)
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当面の間、本ワークショップはZoom を利用してオンラインで開催されます。 以下の注意事項を必ずご確認のうえご準備をお願いいたします。 Empirical Micro Research Seminar is held online using Zoom for the time being. Please read the following instruction for participation.
※ 登録 (Registration) 事前登録が必須となります。 下記よりご登録頂けますと、 ミーティングURLがemailで送付されます。 事前に、ご利用の端末にZoomアプリケーションのインストールをお済ませください。 （Zoomアカウントをお持ちの方は、emailにあるID, パスワードを使ってサインインして頂くことも可能です。） Registration is required to join a seminar. Please register in advance at the following website so that detailed information containing meeting URL will be provided via email. Please make sure to install ZOOM Cloud Meetings (application)on your computer or cell phone in advance. (If you have a Zoom account, sign-up using ID and password included in the email is also available.) https://zoom.us/meeting/register/tJAsfuyrrTwtHNyMNMOg1L8fx_niJtHgIwR4 参加までの手順は下記より事前にご確認ください。 For more details, please see the following website.
※ 注意 (Note) 1) 参加者名には、ご自分の氏名をお使い下さい。 Please register your full name when you participate. 2) 登録は初回のみ。すでにご登録されている方は、登録時にご案内済みのミーティングURLまたはミーティングID、パスワードでご入室頂けます。ただし、共催セミナーの場合、URLが変わる場合がありますのでお気をつけください。 Those who already registered previously need not register again. You can join the following meetings with the same meeting URL or the meeting ID as the one you received. Please note that the meeting URL will be changed when the seminar is hosted by another workshop.
※ セミナー中 (During Seminars) ご自身の音声は、質疑応答時を除き、OFFにしてください。 Please mute your microphone during a speaker's talk except for Q&A session. 音声OFFの手順 (Muting Participants in Zoom) |
以下本年度終了分
| 日時 | ※本ワークショップは開催中止となりました。 The seminar has been cancelled.
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| 場所 | 東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 （小島ホール）１階 第１セミナー室 in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map] |
| 報告 | Arvind Magesan (University of Calgary) |
| Abstract | |
| 共催 | ミクロ経済学ワークショップ |
| Organizer | Shintaro Yamaguchi |
| 日時 | ※本ワークショップは開催中止となりました。 The seminar has been cancelled.
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| 場所 | 東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 （小島ホール）１階 第１セミナー室 in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map] |
| 報告 | Stephen Teng Sun (The Chinese University of Hong Kong) |
| 共催 | |
| Abstract | |
| Organizer | Drew Griffen |
| 日時 | ※本ワークショップは開催中止となりました。 The seminar has been cancelled.
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| 場所 | 東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 （小島ホール）１階 第１セミナー室 in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map] |
| 報告 | Parag Pathak (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) |
| 共催 | ミクロ経済学ワークショップ |
| Abstract | |
| Organizer | Daiji Kawaguchi |
| 日時 | ※本ワークショップは開催中止となりました。 The seminar has been cancelled.
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| 場所 | 東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 （小島ホール）１階 第１セミナー室 in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map] |
| 報告 | Matthew H. Shapiro (Singapore Management University) |
| 共催 | |
| Abstract | |
| Organizer | Daiji Kawaguchi |
| 日時 | ※本ワークショップは開催中止となりました。 The seminar has been cancelled.
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| 場所 | 東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 （小島ホール）１階 第１セミナー室 in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map] |
| 報告 | Koichiro Ito (University of Chicago) |
| 共催 | |
| Abstract | |
| Organizer | Shinichiro Yamaguchi |
| 日時 | July 13, 2020 (Tuesday) 17:00-18:30 ※日時に注意 |
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| 場所 | Zoomを利用したオンラインでの開催（事前登録制）予定です。 詳細は本ウェブサイト上の説明をご確認ください。 |
| 報告 | 笠原博幸（Hiroyuki Kasayara）（The University of British Columbia) |
| 共催 | |
| Abstract | This paper evaluates the dynamic impact of various policies adopted by US states on the growth rates of confirmed Covid-19 cases and deaths as well as social distancing behavior measured by Google Mobility Reports, where we take into consideration people's voluntarily behavioral response to new information of transmission risks. Our analysis finds that both policies and information on transmission risks are important determinants of Covid-19 cases and deaths and shows that a change in policies explains a large fraction of observed changes in social distancing behavior. Our counterfactual experiments suggest that nationally mandating face masks for employees on April 1st could have reduced the growth rate of cases and deaths by more than 10 percentage points in late April, and could have led to as much as 17 to 55 percent less deaths nationally by the end of May, which roughly translates into 17 to 55 thousand saved lives. Our estimates imply that removing non-essential business closures (while maintaining school closures, restrictions on movie theaters and restaurants) could have led to -20 to 60 percent more cases and deaths by the end of May. We also find that, without stay-at-home orders, cases would have been larger by 25 to 170 percent, which implies that 0.5 to 3.4 million more Americans could have been infected if stay-at-home orders had not been implemented. Finally, not having implemented any policies could have led to at least a 7 fold increase with an uninformative upper bound in cases (and deaths) by the end of May in the US, with considerable uncertainty over the effects of school closures, which had little cross-sectional variation. |
| Organizer | Shinichiro Yamaguchi |
| 日時 | July 20, 2020 (Monday) 10:30-12:00 |
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| 場所 | Zoomを利用したオンラインでの開催（事前登録制）予定です。 詳細は本ウェブサイト上の説明をご確認ください。 |
| 報告 | 田中万理（Mari Tanaka）（一橋大学/Hitotsubashi University) |
| 共催 | |
| Abstract | During the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) crisis, governments around the world have implemented large-scale anti-contagion policies to contain the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus in combination with a series of economic policies to mitigate the economic damage, such as the provision of subsidies. In this study, we evaluate the short-run trade-off between the epidemiological and economic goals as well as the potential medium-run benefits of the anti-contagion and economic policies using a survey on Japanese small business managers' expectations about the pandemic, policies, and firm performance. We find three main results. First, Japan's anti-contagion policy, the unenforceable state of emergency declaration, decreased year-on-year sales by 5 percentage points in April 2020 compared to March. Firms' expectations significantly improved in the week that the emergency state was partially lifted and the government announced clear guidelines for lifting the emergency state. Second, we find that simple lump-sum government benefits improved firms' prospects for survival by exploiting a discontinuity in the eligibility criteria. However, firms did not yet expect to use short-time work compensation, which requires additional review, time, and costs. Third, managers expected the medium-run recovery of their firms' performance to depend on when infections would end and whether the Olympic Games could be held, indicating that stringent short-run anti-contagion policies could complement the longer-run economic goal. This study contributes to the policy debate about the optimal economic and epidemiological policies under the pandemic by quantifying the key effects of the policies. |
| Organizer | Shintaro Yamaguchi |
| 日時 | ※本ワークショップは開催中止となりました。 The seminar has been cancelled.
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| 場所 | 東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 （小島ホール）１階 第１セミナー室 in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map] |
| 報告 | Naomi Feldman (Hebrew University of Jerusalem) |
| 共催 | |
| Abstract | |
| Organizer | Drew Griffen |
| 日時 | October 19, 2020 (Monday) 10:30-12:00 |
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| 場所 | Zoomを利用したオンラインでの開催（事前登録制）予定です。 詳細は本ウェブサイト上の説明をご確認ください。 |
| 報告 | Kiichi Tokuoka (International Monetary Fund) |
| 共催 | |
| Abstract | Using data on earthquakes that have affected Japan over the past 100 years and self-reported risk tolerance, this paper finds a positive impact of "life-long'' earthquake memory on risk tolerance. The results are robust with several alternative specifications. The paper also finds that earthquake memory is positively related to the share of risky financial assets in household financial assets. |
| Organizer | Drew Griffen |
| 日時 | October 30, 2020 (Friday) 9:00-10:30 ※日時に注意 |
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| 場所 | Zoomを利用したオンラインでの開催（事前登録制）予定です。 詳細は本ウェブサイト上の説明をご確認ください。 |
| 報告 | Daniel Hamermesh (Barnard College) |
| 共催 | |
| Abstract | By age 77 a plurality of American women are widows. Comparing older (ages 70+) married women to widows in the American Time Use Survey 2003-18 and linking the data to the Current Population Survey allow inferring the short- and longer-term effects of an arguably exogenous shock?husband's death?and measuring the paths of adjustment to it. Widows differ from otherwise similar married women, and especially from married women with working husbands, by cutting back on home production, especially food preparation and housework, mostly by engaging in less of it each day, not doing it less frequently. British, French, Italian, German and Dutch widows behave similarly. Widows are alone during most of the time they had spent with their spouses, with only a small increase in time with friends and relatives (except shortly after becoming widowed). They feel less time pressure than married women but are less satisfied with their lives. Following European women before and after a husband's death shows the exact same changes in their feelings of time pressure and life satisfaction. Most of the adjustment of time use in response to widowhood occurs within one year of the husband's death; but reduced life satisfaction and feelings of depression persist much longer. |
| Organizer | Daiji Kawaguchi |
| 日時 | January 18, 2021 (Monday) 11:30-12:00 修士論文発表会(Master's Thesis Presentation） |
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| 場所 | Zoomを利用したオンラインでの開催（事前登録制）予定です。 |
| 報告 | 石幡 祐輔(Yusuke Ishihata) (Readers:Yamaguchi, (Y.Watanabe, Griffen) |
| 共催 | |
| Abstract | This paper proposes and estimates a dynamic discrete choice model of students’ educational investment and application behavior in entrance exams. Unlike the school choice problem, which has been extensively investigated in the literature, changes in entrance exams affect not only matching between students and schools but also students’ educational investment and thus their preparedness for future entrance exams. Counterfactual analyses show that both increasing the cutoff scores and enhancing the availability of information on students’ admission probability in the entrance exam would affect their ex-ante welfare but would not affect educational investment. In particular, female students, low-SES students, and students with low initial scores are affected more than their counterparts. The results suggest that students tend to react to policy change in the entrance exam by changing their application behavior, not their studying behavior. |
| Organizer | Shintaro Yamaguchi |
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