Tokyo Workshop on International Development 2013

 

※ 11月19日現在

※ 特に表記のない限りセミナー発表は英語で行われます(Unless otherwise mentioned, presentations are in ENGLISH)。

※ Workshop background


<今後の予定>

 


<終了分>

日時

    May 27, 2013 (Monday) 12:10-13:10

   *ミクロ実証分析ワークショップと共催

場所

東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]

報告


戸堂康之 (Yasuyuki Todo) (University of Tokyo)

How Do Supply Chain Networks Affect the Resilience of Firms to Natural Disasters? Evidence from the Great East Japan Earthquake (joint with Kentaro Nakajima and Petr Matous) [PDF]

Abstract

This paper examines how supply chain networks affected the resilience of firms to the Great East Japan earthquake, particularly the time that passed before firms resumed operations after the earthquake and sales growth from the pre- to post-earthquake period. The results indicate that the expansion of supply chain networks has two opposing effects on resilience of firms to disasters. On the one hand, when firms are connected with additional firms through supply chain networks, they are more likely to experience disruption of supplies and demands, which delays recovery. On the other hand, firms can benefit from diversified networks with suppliers and clients because they can substitute surviving firms in the network for damaged partners and receive support from surviving partners. Our results indicate that networks with firms outside the impacted area contributed to the earlier resumption of production after the earthquake, whereas networks within the region contributed to sales recovery in the medium term, implying that the positive effects of supply chains on recovery typically exceed the negative effects. We conclude that diversified supply chain networks contribute to the resilience of firms to natural disasters.

 

日時

July 12, 2013 (Friday) 12:00-13:00

※Schedule Changed、日時に注意

場所

東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]

報告

1) 12:00-13:00  * ミクロ実証分析ワークショップと共催

不破信彦 (Nobuhiko Fuwa) (Waseda University)

Revisiting Sectoral Growth Linkages (and Other Sources of Non-farm Development) in the Rural Philippines

 

※以下のセミナーは延期となりました。The following seminar has been postponed.

後藤 潤 (Jun Goto) (University of Tokyo)

Loan Allocation and Social Norm within Group Lending: Experimental and Survey Evidence from Self-Help Group Program in South India

Abstract

1) While the conventional wisdom in development economics tends to hold the view that agricultural growth facilitates diversification of rural economies (from mainly agricultural to rural nonfarm development), empirical evidence showing such a causal relationship appears to be relatively scarce. Furthermore, theoretical work in the past two decades demonstrates that agricultural growth and non-agricultural growth can be either positively or negatively related, depending on the extent of mobility of the goods and services and of the factors producing them. This paper revisits the question empirically in the context of rural Philippines. It examines the sources of rural non-farm sector growth, which has become the main driver of rural poverty reduction. Based on a dynamic panel analysis using system GMM and applied to provincial panel data covering the period 1985-2006, we find that agricultural growth is (contemporaneously) significantly and positively associated with service sector growth, with elasticity ranging between 0.20 and 0.30, but not with manufacturing growth. This appears to suggest that either rural labor force is sufficiently mobile or capital is relatively immobile across provinces in the Philippines. We find no evidence of causal relationship in Granger's sense, however. We also find different roles played by national road networks, on the one hand, and local roads, on the other; local road appears to facilitate rural nonfarm sector development while national road to facilitate agricultural growth.

 

 

日時

    October 21, 2013 (Monday) 15:00-16:30  ※開始時間に注意

場所

東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]

報告

1) 12:10-13:10 澤田康幸 (Yasuyuki Sawada) (University of Tokyo)
※上記のセミナーは10月28日へ延期されました。/ The above seminar has been postponed to October 28.

15:00-16:30
後藤 潤 (Jun Goto)
(University of Tokyo)
Loan Allocation and Social Norm within Group Lending: Experimental and Survey Evidence from Self-Help Group Program in South India

Abstract

This study aims to provide empirical evidence of the determinants of loan allocation, the severity of credit rationing, and the role of social norms in group lending methodology with joint liability adopted in a microfinance program (Self-Help Group program) of South India. To do so, we conduct an artefactual field experiment to capture social preferences of program participants. Experimental data are then combined with financial data collected from individual and group financial diaries in which bargaining processes in deciding who borrows indeed in each loan cycle are explicitly recorded. Four main empirical findings are confirmed. First, in a demand-side decision-making, participants with lower permanent income and savings in bank accounts are forced to abandon to apply microloan in their financial groups since they are afraid to be rejected their application by group members and/or fear to lapse into a default (i.e. demand-side rationing). Therefore, applicants' income and an amount of savings play a role as implicit collateral to screen borrowers. In addition, if other applicants in the same loan cycle hold higher political positions, potential applicants decide to step away from borrowing loans. Second, regarding the effects of social norms, while altruistic potential borrowers tend to be reluctant for applying loans, trusting and cooperative participants reveal the opposite behavior. Third, in a supply-side decision-making, each group acting as a lender optimally allocates microloan in such a way as to minimize the probability of defaults of borrowers by screening out applicants in accordance with permanent income (i.e. supply-side rationing). Fourth, a traditional social norm or noblesse oblige, however, persuades group members to permit the poor to borrow even though this impairs an efficiency of loan allocation.

 

日時

    October 24, 2013 (Thursday) 12:10-13:10  ※日時に注意
    *クロ実証分析ワークショップと共催

場所

東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]

報告


Nazmul Chaudhury
(The World Bank)
The Elephant Vanishes: The reality of classroom learning, or lack thereof

Abstract

 

日時

    October 28, 2013 (Monday) 12:10-13:10  ※時間に注意
    *クロ実証分析ワークショップと共催

場所

東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]

報告


澤田康幸 (Yasuyuki Sawada)
(University of Tokyo)
Incentives and Social Preferences in a Traditional Labor Contract: Evidence from Rice Planting Field Experiments in the Philippines (joint with Jun Goto, Takeshi Aida, and Keitaro Aoyagi)

Abstract

 

 

日時

November 15, 2013 (Friday) 16:40-18:20 ※日時・会場にご注意下さい。

*ミクロ実証分析ワークショップと共催

場所

東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 2階小島コンファレンスルーム
in Kojima Conference Room on the 2nd floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]

報告

Shahidur Khandker (The World Bank)

Are Microcredit Participants in Bangladesh trapped in poverty and debt? [PDF]

Abstract

This paper addresses whether microcredit participants in Bangladesh are trapped in poverty and debt, as many critics have argued in recent years. Analysis of data from a long panel survey over a 20-year period confirms this is not the case, although numerous participants have been with microcredit programs for many years. The results of the analysis suggest that participants derive a variety of benefits from microcredit: It helps them to earn income and consume more, accumulate assets, invest in children's schooling, and be lifted out of poverty. This is not to say that non-participants have failed to progress over the same period. Both participants and non-participants have gained as the economy has grown; however, the rates of poverty reduction have been higher for participants. Testing the net effect of microcredit programs requires applying an econometric method that controls for why some households participated and others did not, conditional on their initial characteristics. In addition, the method must control for time-varying, unobserved heterogeneity that affects everyone over time, albeit in possibly different ways. The paper's econometric estimates show significant welfare gains resulting from microcredit participation, especially for women. They also show that the accrued benefits of borrowing outweigh accumulated debt. As a result, households' net worth has increased, and both poverty and the debt-asset ratio have declined.

 

 

日時

    November 18, 2013 (Monday) 15:00-16:30  

場所

東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]

報告


Francis Mwesigye
(Ph.D. Candidate, GRIPS)
Rural-rural Migration and Land Conflicts: Implications on Agriculture Productivity in Uganda (joint with Tomoya Matsumoto) [PDF]

Abstract

We use community and household data with plot level information to explore the determinants of different forms of land conflicts and the conflicts' impact on agriculture productivity in Uganda. Tracing rural-rural migration patterns, we find that communities which receive host more immigrants and, hence, have many coexisting tribes tend to have more land conflicts than those sending migrants out. Unbundling conflicts by type reveals that the number of tribes and being in a receiving community are associated with a higher probability of eviction conflicts than sending communities and those with fewer tribes. Turning to conflict impact, we find that plots with conflicts have 18 percent lower yield than those without conflicts. While breaking down conflicts by type reveals that plots with eviction conflicts have 36 percent lower yield than those with inheritance conflicts. Our results suggest that rural-rural migration weakens community specific informal land arrangements and conflict resolution mechanisms which, in the absence of formal institutions, result into eviction conflicts that in turn hurt productivity.

 

日時

    November 18, 2013 (Monday) 16:30-18:00  

場所

東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]

報告


Pravakar Sahoo (Delhi University)

India's Surge in Modern Services Exports: Empirics for Policy

Abstract

India's exports of modern services have grown consistently over the last three decades and more so since 1991. Sustaining Modern Services Exports (MSEs), which in India enjoy comparative advantage, is important for sustaining service-led growth and maintaining stability on the external sector. In this context, we examine key drivers of India's surge in MSEs which have important implications for policy. The results reveal that endowment factors such as human capital, tele-density, financial development, physical infrastructure and institutions are the key drivers of India's MSEs along with the world demand, exchange rate and foreign direct investment. Therefore, India needs to focus on and speed up the ongoing reforms to improve supply side factors such as education, infrastructure, financial sector deepening, governance and broad-band tele-density to improve competitiveness of India's modern services exports.