ミクロ実証分析ワークショップ 2019
Empirical Micro Research Seminar 2019

  • ※ 2021年2月17日
  • ※ 特に表記のない限りセミナー発表は英語で行われます(Unless otherwise mentioned, presentations are in ENGLISH)。

 

以下本年度終了分

 

日時

※本ワークショップは開催中止となりました。 The seminar has been cancelled.

March 17, 2020 (Tuesday) 10:25-12:10

場所 東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室 in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

Gautam Gowrisankaran (Arizona State University)

共催
Abstract  
Organizer
Naoki Wakamori
日時

※本ワークショップは開催中止となりました。 The seminar has been cancelled.

March 30, 2020 (Monday) 10:30-12:00

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室 in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

Jonathan Guryan (Northwestern University)

共催
Abstract  
Organizer
Shintaro Yamaguchi
日時

April 15, 2019 (Monday) 10:30-12:00

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室 in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

Giulio Zanella (University of Adelaide and University of Bologna)

"Prison Work and Recidivism" [Slides]

共催  
Abstract
Does employing inmates in prison jobs reduce reincarceration? I investigate this question applying quasi-experimental and structural methods to administrative data on the universe of convicts released from Italian prisons between 2009 and 2012.I find that a standard deviation increase in average annual hours spent in a paid, unskilled prison job (200 hours per year) reduces the reincarceration rate by about 10 percentage points one year of release. This effect persists after three years of release, implying a rate of return on government funds allocated to prison work programs of more than 20%. Structural estimation of a model formalizing the institutional context under investigation and the convict's problem upon release reproduces the quasi-experimental finding and indicates that the "training effect" of prison work (slower depreciation of an inmate's earnings potential during imprisonment) accounts for most of the drop in the reincarceration rate.  
Organizer
Shintaro Yamaguchi
日時

April 16, 2019 (Tuesday) 10:25-12:10  ※日時に注意

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室 in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

Andrea Weber (Central European University)

"Female Leadership and Gender Gap within Firms: Evidence from an Italian Board Reform (joint with Agata Maida)" [paper]

共催  
Abstract Over the last decade, several countries have followed the Norwegian example and introduced laws mandating gender quota for corporate board membership. The main aim of these laws is breaking the “glass ceiling” which prevents women from advancing into top corporate positions. In this paper, we evaluate the Italian law of 2011, which installed a step-wise increase in gender quota that remain effective for three consecutive board renewals of listed limited liability firms. We link firm-level information on board membership and board election dates with detailed employment and earnings records from the Social Security registers. Exploiting the staggered introduction of the gender quota regulation and variation in board renewals across firms, we evaluate the effect of the board gender composition on measures of gender diversity in top positions over a period of 4 years. While the reform substantially raised the female membership on corporate boards, we find no evidence of spillover effects on the representation of women in top executive or top earnings positions. Our results confirm the findings by Bertrand et al. (2019) who study the introduction of a gender quota for board members in Norway. Given that Italy is a much less egalitarian society than Norway, with a larger scope of establishing gender equality, our results confirm that board quota policies alone are ineffective in raising female representation in top corporate positions, at least in the short run.
Organizer
Daiji Kawaguchi
日時

April 22, 2019 (Monday) 10:30-12:00

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室 in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

Maria Guadalupe (INSEAD)

"More Women in Tech? Evidence from a Field Experiment addressing Social Identity" [paper]

共催 ミクロ経済学ワークショップ
Abstract This paper studies how social identity considerations interact with comparative advantage to
determine whether women will attempt a career in technology. We implement two field experiments with potential applicants to a five-month software-coding program offered to low-income women in Peru and Mexico. When we counterbalance the male stereotype of a career in technology through role models, information on returns and access to a female network application rates double and self-selection patterns change, suggesting that identity considerations are a strong deterrent for women to attempt a career in technology, in particular for some high-cognitive skill women who would benefit from it.
Organizer
Daiji Kawaguchi
日時

The 3rd CREPE Conference on Program Evaluation

April 26, 2019 (Friday)13:00-18:20 

 ※日時と場所に注意

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)2階 小島コンファレンスホール
in Kojima Conference Room on the 2nd floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
Program

Please click here for the PDF file of the program.

 

1:00 pm to 2:20 pm Key Note Speech 1
Thomas Lemiuex, Vancouver School of Economics at UBC
"Labor Market Institutions and the Distribution of Wages: The Role of Spillover Effects"
(joint with Nicole Fortin and Neil Lloyd)

2:20 pm to 2:40 pm Break

2:40 pm to 4:40 pm Regular Session
Drew Griffen
, University of Tokyo
"School Based Management and Social Preferences: Experimental Evidence from Burkina Faso"
(joint with Yasuyuki Sawada and Takeshi Aida)

Takahiro Toriyabe, University of Tokyo
"Does a generous parental leave policy suppress career advancement of skilled women?"
(joint with Daiji Kawaguchi)

Makiko Nakamuro, Keio University
"Why Are Month-of-Birth Effects So Persistent? Roles of Parents, Teachers, and Peers"
(joint with Takehiro Ito and Shintaro Yamaguchi)

4:40 pm to 5:00 pm Break

5:00 pm to 6:20 pm Key Note Speech 2
Nicole Fortin
, Vancouver School of Economics at UBC
Paper 1: "Increasing Earnings Inequalityand the Gender Pay Gap in Canada: Prospects for Convergence"
Paper 2: "Earnings Inequality and the Gender Pay Gap in Canada: The Role of Women’s Under-representation among Top Earners" (joint with Aneta Bonikowska and Marie Drolet)

 

Organizer
Shinichiro Yamaguchi
日時
The 3rd CREPE Conference on Program Evaluation

April 26, 2019 (Friday)13:00-18:20 ※日時と場所に注意

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)2階 小島コンファレンスホール
in Kojima Conference Room on the 2nd floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
Progrm

Please click here for the PDF file of the program.

 

1:00 pm to 2:20 pm Key Note Speech 1
Thomas Lemiuex, Vancouver School of Economics at UBC
"Labor Market Institutions and the Distribution of Wages: The Role of Spillover Effects"
(joint with Nicole Fortin and Neil Lloyd)

2:20 pm to 2:40 pm Break

2:40 pm to 4:40 pm Regular Session
Drew Griffen
, University of Tokyo
"School Based Management and Social Preferences: Experimental Evidence from Burkina Faso"
(joint with Yasuyuki Sawada and Takeshi Aida)

Takahiro Toriyabe, University of Tokyo
"Does a generous parental leave policy suppress career advancement of skilled women?"
(joint with Daiji Kawaguchi)

Makiko Nakamuro, Keio University
"Why Are Month-of-Birth Effects So Persistent? Roles of Parents, Teachers, and Peers"
(joint with Takehiro Ito and Shintaro Yamaguchi)

4:40 pm to 5:00 pm Break

5:00 pm to 6:20 pm Key Note Speech 2
Nicole Fortin
, Vancouver School of Economics at UBC
Paper 1: "Increasing Earnings Inequalityand the Gender Pay Gap in Canada: Prospects for Convergence"
Paper 2: "Earnings Inequality and the Gender Pay Gap in Canada: The Role of Women’s Under-representation among Top Earners" (joint with Aneta Bonikowska and Marie Drolet)

 

Organizer
Shintaro Yamaguchi
日時

May 13, 2019 (Monday) 10:30-12:00

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室 in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

Ayumu Ken Kikkawa (University of British Columbia)

"The Impact of NAFTA on Prices and Competition: Evidence from Mexican Manufacturing Plants" [paper]

共催
Abstract
This paper assesses the impact of the North American Free Trade Agreement on Mexican manufacturing plants' prices and markups. We distinguish between Mexican goods that are exported and those sold domestically, and decompose their prices sepa- rately into markups and marginal costs. We then analyze how these components were aected by reductions in Mexican output taris, intermediate input taris, and U.S. taris. We nd that declines in these taris led to signicant reductions in the marginal costs of Mexican products. However, prices of exported goods slightly increased as ex- porters increased their markups in response to declines in U.S. taris. 
Organizer
Taiji Furusawa
日時

May 20, 2019 (Monday) 10:30-12:00

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

Matilde Bombardini(University of British Columbia)

“Hall of Mirrors: Corporate Philanthropy and Strategic Advocacy”[paper]

共催
Abstract
Politicians and regulators rely on feedback from the public when setting policies. For-profit corporations and non-profit entities are active in this process and are arguably expectedto provide independent viewpoints. Policymakers (and the public at large), however, maybe unaware of the financial ties between some firms and non-profits – ties that are legaland tax-exempt, but difficult to trace. We identify these ties using IRS forms submitted bythe charitable arms of large U.S. corporations, which list all grants awarded to non-profits.We document three patterns in a comprehensive sample of public commentary made byfirms and non-profits within U.S. federal rulemaking between 2003 and 2015. First, we showthat, shortly after a firm donates to a non-profit, the grantee is more likely to comment onrules for which the firm has also provided a comment. Second, when a firm comments on arule, the comments by non-profits that recently received grants from the firm’s foundationare systematically closer in content similarity to the firm’s own comments than to thosesubmitted by other non-profits commenting on that rule. Comments by non-profits thatrecently received grants are also not opposing in terms of sentiment of their content. Third,when a firm comments on a new rule, the discussion of the final rule is more similar to thefirm’s comments when the firm’s recent grantees also comment on that rule. These patterns,taken together, suggest that corporations strategically deploy charitable grants to inducenon-profit grantees to make comments that favor their benefactors, and that this translatesinto regulatory discussion that is closer to the firm’s own comments.
Organizer
Drew Griffen
日時
TWID/JADE Workshop on Education and Skills

May 23, 2019 (Thursday) 15:00-17:30

場所

東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第2セミナー室
in Seminar Room 2 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]

※日時・場所に注意

Registration


To attend, register at here:
https://forms.gle/sY3b3ZBch3E5ZoYD6

共催
Aya
Abstract

15:00 - 15:40 Yukichi Mano (Hitotsubashi University)
“Life skill development through child and parental interventions: randomized experiment in the Philippines" (joint with Yasuyuki Sawada, Makiko Nakamuro, Takaaki Okumura, and Drew Griffen)


15:40 - 16.20 Aya Suzuki (The University of Tokyo)
"Cognitive and Non-cognitive Skills and Productivity: Analysis of the Production Worker Data from the Cut Flower Farms in Ethiopia" (joint with Yukichi Mano and Girum Abebe)


16:20 - 16:30 Break


16:30 - 17:30 Paul Glewwe (University of Minnesota)
“What Explains Vietnam’s Exceptional Performance in Education Relative to Other Countries? Analysis of the Young Lives Data from Ethiopia, Peru, India and Vietnam."

Vietnam’s strong performance on the 2012 and 2015 PISA assessments has led to interest in what explains the strong academic performance of Vietnamese students. Analysis of the PISA data has not shed much light on this issue. This paper analyses a much richer data set, the Young Lives data for Ethiopia, India (Andhra Pradesh), Peru and Vietnam, to investigate the reasons for the strong academic performance of 15-year-olds in Vietnam. The (preliminary) analysis thus far indicates that the Young Lives data can “explain” about two thirds of the gap between Vietnamese and Ethiopian 15-year-olds, about half of the gap between Vietnamese and Indian 15-year-olds, and about 40% of the gap between Vietnamese and Peruvian 15-year-olds.

Organizer
Aya Suzuki, Yoshito Takasaki
日時

June 14, 2019 2021 (Monday) 11:30-12:00 

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)2階 小島コンファレンスルーム
in Kojima Conference room on the 2nd floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

John Kagel (The Ohio State University) 

Infinitely Repeated Prisoner Dilemma Games: Comparing Teams with Individuals* with David Cooper(Florida State University) [paper]

共催
Abstract
Teams are less cooperative than individuals in infinitely repeated PD games to begin with, but are more cooperative with experience. Strategies from team discussions are similar to maximum likelihood estimates at an aggregate level. However, discussions identify strategies that are substantially more complicated than standard strategies. Around 65% of teams use Always Defect to begin with, primarily out of safety concerns as well as a failure even consider the benefits of cooperating. Stage 1 cooperation rates are the same, or higher, in a comparable set of finitely repeated games, for both super-game 1 and the last common super-game.  
Organizer
Hidehiko Ichimura
日時

June 24, 2019 (Monday) 10:30-12:00

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

Michela Tincani (University College London)

"Rank Incentives, Misperceptions and the Design of Education Policy"

共催
Abstract
In this paper, we combine merged administrative and novel survey data that we collected in the context of a randomized national policy with structural econometric modelling to study how agents respond to rank incentives, and to analyze the design of such incentives. By combining a randomized experiment with structural modelling we are able to cleanly identify policy impacts and key model parameters, and use model simulations to provide evidence on the mechanisms driving policy impacts. 
Organizer
ShintaroYamaguchi
日時

July 1, 2019 (Monday) 10:30-12:00

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

Mitsukuni Nishida (Johns Hopkins University)

"Are Mergers Beneficial for Firms? Evaluating Intangible Factors behind a Slowdown after a Financial Integration"

共催
Abstract
Although the profitability of firms drives the desire to merge, nearly half of all mergers are considered failures. We analyze whether a past merger made merging firms more or less profitable, and through what channels did the merger affect profitability. We examine the effects of mergers on revenues, costs, and intangible assets (e.g., corporate culture, managerial talent, and organizational learning/forgetting) with limited data. The model relies on publicly available information on sales and store count of the convenience-store chains in 47 geographical markets in Japan, before and after an actual merger event. Our descriptive analysis documents that the merging firms experienced a slowdown in sales performance and the magnitude of the slowdown differs across geographic markets. To examine the effect of the merger on intangible, we estimate a dynamic model of retail expansion by modeling intangible assets as serially correlated unobservables in economic profits that evolve both endogenously and stochastically. The estimates reveal these intangible factors declined following the merger, and such decay is associated with the distance from the parent company's headquarters.  
Organizer
Daiji Kawaguchi
日時

July 8, 2019 (Monday) 10:30-12:00

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

Mitsukuni Nishida (Johns Hopkins University)

"Are Mergers Beneficial for Firms? Evaluating Intangible Factors behind a Slowdown after a Financial Integration"

共催
Abstract
The underutilized housing stock is a problem caused by the mismatch between housing stock and demand. Two forms of mismatch are vacant homes and empty nests. Vacant homes reflect a thin second-hand housing market whereas empty nests are associated with low mobility. This study sheds light on the cause of empty nests by focusing on bequest motives and the inheritance tax. By using Japanese household panel data, we first explore how the characteristics of household and housing are associated with empty nests, bequest motives, mobility, and renovation decisions. By the two-stage estimation of the bequest and mobility/renovation equations, we find that the inheritance tax exemption exacerbates the empty nest problem by decreasing household mobility and renovation through greater bequest motives. Bequest motives are also positively impacted by a coresident male child, financial wealth, and a self-employment status. Mobility decreases by age but increases by house size. In contrast, renovation decreases by retirement but increases by financial wealth, a self-employment status, and if a house is constructed under new earthquake-resistance standards.  
Organizer
Tsutomu Watanabe
日時

July 22, 2019 (Monday) 11:30-12:00

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

【UTIPE Empirical Master's Thesis Presentation】

Xinwei Dong

"The effect of subsequent birth interval on first children's height"

共催

 

Abstract
Organizer
日時

July 29, 2019 (Monday) 10:30-12:00

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

Yoshito Takasaki (The University of Tokyo)
"Disability, vocational training, and psychological externalities: Experimental evidence from Cambodia"

共催
Abstract
This paper reports a randomized control trial on vocational training for persons with disabilities (PWDs). The program seeks to promote skilled work in mechanics and service for persons with limb amputation or paralysis in heavily mined areas of rural Cambodia. The program is small scale but intensive, involving long stay at the training center, up to one year. Eligible PWDs were randomly recruited and only recruited PWDs could participate in the program, if they wished (one-sided noncompliance). I examine economic, psychological, and social impacts of the training. On one hand, the training greatly increased employment (salary employment, not family enterprise) and earnings. Moreover, this led to employment among nondisabled household members (i.e., positive economic intrahousehold spillover). On the other hand, the training rather increased people’s discrimination against disabilities, which led to an increase in PWDs’ stigma of disability (i.e., negative psychological intergroup spillover). This unintended consequence was not caused by PWDs’ economic inclusion (e.g., envy), but by their negative interactions with nondisabled people who were not familiarity with disabilities in the community. I address potential threats to identification of these psychological externalities: perception bias in discrimination experienced by PWDs and psychological intragroup spillover among PWDs.
Organizer
Andrew Griffen
日時

October 7, 2019 (Monday) 10:30-12:00

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

Eric Zou (University of Oregon)
"Unwatched Pollution: The Effect of Intermittent Monitoring on Air Quality"[paper]

共催
Abstract
Intermittent monitoring of environmental standards may induce strategic increases in polluting activities during unmonitored times. This paper documents local strategic responses to a cyclical, once-every-sixday air quality monitoring schedule under the federal Clean Air Act. Using satellite data of monitored areas, I show that air quality is significantly worse on unmonitored days. Correspondingly, cities’ use of air quality warnings increases on monitored days, which suggests local governments’ role in coordinating emission reductions. Higher levels of pollution on unmonitored days lead to measurable changes in outcomes, including lower school test scores and elevated crime. 
Organizer
Andrew Griffen
日時

October 8, 2019 (Tuesday) 10:25-12:10 ※日時に注意

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

内藤久裕 (Hisahiro Naito) (University of Tsukuba)
Birth Month Education Puzzle and A Selection Hypothesis

共催
Abstract
Organizer
Yoshito Takasaki
日時

October 9, 2019 (Wednesday) 10:30-12:00 ※日時、会場に注意

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第2セミナー室
in Seminar Room 2 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

五反田紘志 (Hiroshi Gotanda) (UCLA)
"Out-of-Pocket Spending and Catastrophic Health Expenditure among Low-Income Families during the First 3 Years of Medicaid Expansions under Affordable Care Act"

共催
Abstract
Under the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA) in 2010, the eligibility for Medicaid?-public health insurance for low-income Americans?-was expanded to people earning up to 138% of the federal poverty level in the U.S. Evidence to date shows that the introduction of the ACA led to a significant decline in the number of uninsured patients. However, it remains unclear as to whether the ACA Medicaid expansions were associated with improved financial risk protection among low-income families at the national level. Using the U.S. nationally representative sample of low-income families in the U.S., we found that the ACA Medicaid expansions were associated with a lower out-of-pocket spending and a lower likelihood of catastrophic financial burden in the third year of the implementation. These findings suggest that the ACA achieved one of its primary goals to reduce financial strain due to medical bills among low-income families at the national level.  
Organizer
Yoshito Takasaki
日時

October 15, 2019 (Tuesday) 10:25-12:10 ※日時に注意

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

Alistair Munro (National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies (GRIPS))
Married by the Rev. Bayes? An experiment testing joint reasoning within married couples. [paper]

共催
Abstract
Organizer
Yoshito Takasaki
日時

October 21, 2019 (Monday) 10:30-12:00 

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告
山内 太 (Futoshi Yamauchi) (International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI))
Asymmetric Information on Non-cognitive Skills in the Indian Labor Market: An Experiment using an Online Job Portal

共催
Abstract
This paper examines the impact of non-cognitive (socio-emotional) skills on job market outcomes using a randomized control trial implemented in an online job portal in India. Job seekers who registered in the portal were asked to take a Big Five personality test and, for a random sub-sample of the test takers, the results were displayed to potential employers. Outcomes are measured by whether a potential employer unlocks a seeker by opening his/her application and background information. The results show that the treatment group for whom test results were shown generally enjoyed a higher probability of unlock. That is, employers are more interested in those for whom they can see personality test results. Such a relationship was not detected in the pre-test period. The effect was more significant among female, more educated and/or more experienced applicants. We also found a significant impact among cooperative, organized, realistic, calm, and/or outgoing applicants, which seems to indicate employers’ preferences.
Organizer
Yoshito Takasaki
日時

October 28, 2019 (Monday) 10:30-12:00 

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告
Robert A. Miller (Carnegie Mellon University)
"Innovation and Diffusion of Medical Treatment"[paper]
共催
Abstract
This paper develops and estimates a dynamic structural model of demand for a multiattribute product. The demand side equilibrium supports a product spectrum, the characteristics of which evolve over time in response to supply innovations induced by the composition and extent of aggregate demand. The direction and speed of innovation is inefficient because individuals create an externality by not accounting for their influence on the discovery process. We apply the model to drugs invented to combat the HIV epidemic, during which frequent, incremental innovations in medication were punctuated by sporadic breakthroughs. In this application products differ in their efficacy and their propensity to cause side effects. Our biennial data on four American cities track a replenished panel of individuals for over twenty years, from when drugs were not only ineffective but also created debilitating side effects, to when the market matured. We find that the externalities are quantitatively important and that even a temporary subsidy would have improved average social welfare and been more equitable. 
Organizer
Yoshito Takasaki
日時 November 4, 2019 (Monday, Substitute Holiday) 10:30-12:00  
場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告
Shaoda Wang (University of Chicago)
"The Environmental and Economic Consequences of Internalizing Border Spillovers."
共催
Abstract
Organizer
Andrew Griffen
日時

November 5, 2019 (Tuesday) 10:25-12:10 ※日時に注意

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告
関恵里香 (Erika Seki) (Osaka University)
Coordination and free-riding problems in blood donation (joint with Ai Takeuchi)
共催
Abstract
This article theoretically and experimentally examines the twin problems of free-riding and coordination failure faced by blood banks, by investigating the effects of information provision on the efficiency of blood donation. We augment a standard linear public goods game, incorporating the following features of blood donation: multiplicity of public goods (to reflect intertemporal coordination issues), current and upcoming upper bound demands (to incorporate the perishable nature of blood and the embargo period of consecutive donations), and semi-binary choices (to account for individual options to withhold donations or make donations and when). We analyze whether a provision of deterministic information on the potential blood demand (full information) would improve the efficiency of blood donation when compared to the provision of probabilistic information (partial information). The theory predicts that if each individual maximizes the payoff-sum of all players, then the full information provision would achieve donation efficiency in equilibrium. The results of laboratory experiment show that the full information provision does not improve the efficiency of donation, on an average. We find that full information improves intertemporal coordination, but it worsens the free-riding problem. Although information helps individuals to direct donations in response to the demand, it drives individuals to withhold donations to avoid potential wastage against the risk of donation over the upper bound. When the predicted total demand is relatively small, that is, when strategic uncertainty about others donation matters for achieving efficiency, the provision of information about intertemporal demand in upper bounds tends to lower efficiency because the “donation withholding” effect becomes dominant.
Organizer
Yoshito Takasaki
日時

November 11, 2019 (Monday) 10:30-12:00

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

David Neumark (University of California, Irvine)
"Older Workers Need Not Apply?  Ageist Language in Job Ads and Age Discrimination in Hiring"

共催
Abstract
Age discrimination in hiring can pose a significant barrier to extending the work lives of older individuals, many of whom take “bridge” jobs before complete retirement. We study the relationships between ageist stereotypes ? as reflected in the language used in job ads ? and age discrimination in hiring, exploiting the text of 11,420 job ads and differences in callbacks to older and younger job applicants from a previous resume (correspondence study) field experiment (Neumark, Burn, and Button, 2019). We use language processing software to scrape the text of these ads and identify language that conveys or relates to age stereotypes. We test whether employers who used ageist language in their ads or have job requirements that relate to age stereotypes are less likely to call back older job applicants. This evidence allows us to directly identify, in a field setting, ageist stereotypes that underlie age discrimination in hiring.**We find evidence that language related to stereotypes of older workers sometimes predicts discrimination against older workers. For men, there is a wide range of stereotypes that predict discrimination. Among women, we primarily find evidence that phrases related to communication skills and technology predict discrimination.  
Organizer
Daiji Kawaguchi
日時

November 18, 2019 (Monday) 10:30-12:00

 

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告
Dean Hyslop (Motu)
"Female Earnings Inequality: The Changing Role of Family Characteristics on the Extensive and Intensive Margins (joint with David Card)" [paper]
共催
Abstract
Although women make up nearly half the U.S. workforce, most studies of earnings inequality focus on men. This is at least in part because of the complexity of modeling both the decision to work (i.e., the extensive margin) and the level of earnings conditional on work (the intensive margin). In this paper we document a series of descriptive facts about female earnings inequality using data for three cohorts in the PSID. We show that inequality in annual earnings of women fell sharply between the late 1960s and the mid-1990s, with a particularly large decline in the extensive margin component. We then fit earnings-generating models that incorporate both intensive- and extensive-margin dynamics to data for the three cohorts. Our models suggest that over 80% of the decline in female earnings inequality can be attributed to a weakening of the link between family-based factors (including the number of children of different ages and the presence and incomes of partners) and the intensive and extensive margins of earnings determination. 
Organizer
Daiji Kawaguchi
日時

November 26, 2019 (Tuesday) 10:25-12:10 ※日時に注意

 

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

手島健介 (Kensuke Teshima) (Hitotsubashi University)
"North-South Displacement Effects of Environmental Regulation: The Case of Battery Recycling (joint with Shinsuke Tanaka and Eric Verhoogen)"

共催
Abstract
This study examines the effect of tightening the U.S. environmental standard on lead in 2009 on the relocation of battery recycling to Mexico and on health outcomes in Mexico. In the U.S., airborne lead dropped sharply near plants affected by the regulation, most of which were battery-recycling plants. Exports of used batteries to Mexico rose markedly. In Mexico, birth outcomes deteriorated within two miles of battery-recycling plants, relative to areas slightly further away. These findings demonstrate that environmental regulation in developed countries can induce relocation of pollution-intensive production to developing countries with weaker regulation and cause negative health spillover effects. 
Organizer
Yoshito Takasaki
日時

December 9, 2019 (Monday) 10:30-12:00

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

Daisuke Adachi (Yale University)
"Multinational Production and Labor Share"

共催
Abstract
We study the role of multinational enterprises (MNEs) on the labor share of income distribution in the source country. We propose a general equilibrium model that features heterogeneous and non-parametric production function with the employment of foreign factors with augmentation. First-order approximation points out that the differences in the factor demand elasticities are key parameters for the implication to the labor share. To identify them, we develop a method of moment estimator that leverages foreign factor augmentation shocks. We then apply the method to a unique natural experiment, the 2011 Thailand Floods and the impact on Japanese multinational firms. We employ a uniquely combined Japanese firm- and plantlevel datasets. The estimate indicates that the foreign factor augmentation increased capital demand in Japan more than labor demand, which suggests that the foreign factor augmentation contributes to a reduction in the labor share in Japan. Our quantitative exercise reveals that between 1995 and 2007, the factor augmentation in foreign countries explains 59 percent of the decrease in the labor share. 
Organizer
Drew Griffen
日時

December 11, 2019 (Wednesday) 10:30-12:00  ※日時、会場に注意

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第2セミナー室
in Seminar Room 2 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

Kala Krishna (Pennsylvania State University)
"Does Class Size Matter? How, and at What Cost?"[paper]

共催
Abstract
Using high quality administrative data on Greece we show that class size has a hump shaped effect on achievement. We do so both nonparametrically and parametrically, while controlling for potential endogeneity and allowing for quantile effects. We then embed our estimates for this relationship in a dynamic structural model with costs of hiring and firing. We argue that the linear specification form used in past work may be why it found mixed results. Our work suggests that while discrete reductions in class size may have mixed effects, discrete increases are likely to have very negative effects while marginal changes in class size would have small negative effects. We find optimal class sizes around 27 in the absence of adjustment costs and achievement maximizing ones around 15, and ring costs much larger than hiring costs consistent with the presence of unions. Despite this, reducing ring costs actually reduces achievement. Reducing hiring costs raises achievement and reduces class size. We show that class size caps are costly, and more so for small schools, even when set at levels well above average.
Organizer
Konstantin Kucheryavyy 
日時

December 23, 2019 (Monday) 10:30-12:00

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

David Schonholzer (Stockholm University)
"Measuring the efficacy and Effciency of School Facility Expenditures"[paper]

共催
Abstract
 We offer new evidence on the effects and efficiency of school facility investment on student and neighborhood outcomes, linking data on new facility openings to administrative student and real estate records in Los Angeles Unified School District (LAUSD). Since 1997, LAUSD has built and renovated hundreds of schools as a part of the largest public school construction program in US history. Using an event study design that exploits quasi-random variation in the timing of new facilities and a residential assignment instrument, we find strong positive impacts on math, English, and attendance. Effects are not driven by changes in class size, peers, teachers, or principals, but rather by increased facility quality and, to a lesser extent, reductions in overcrowding. House prices increase by 6% in neighborhoods that receive new schools. Using a residential choice model, we then estimate that a dollar spent on school facilities raises the sum of housing values and adult earnings by 1.62 dollars, with only 22% of this valuation due to academic benefits of the program. The housing market valuation of academic benefits captures most but not all of the implied future earnings gains.
Organizer
Eric Weese 
日時

January 14, 2020 (Tuesday) 10:25-12:10 ※日時、会場に注意

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

Stacey Chen (National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies )
Estimating the Effect of Maternal Education on Child Health Using Data from 20 African Countries

共催
Abstract
 
Organizer
Shintaro Yamaguchi
日時

January 10, 2020 (Friday) 15:30-17:00 ※日時、会場に注意

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第2セミナー室
in Seminar Room 2 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

Shiko Maruyama (University of Technology Sydney)
Why Waste Your Vote? Informal Voting in Compulsory Elections in Australia

共催
Abstract
Voter turnout in mature democracies tends to range from around 50-70%. Low, for something as critical as electing policymakers, but much higher than basic economic theory would predict. Even in Australia, where voting is compulsory, there are still around 5-6% of voters who submit an informal vote, which does not count towards the total. We make use of a natural experiment, based on exogenous changes in electorate boundaries, to identify what factors influence the number of wasted votes. In advance from the existing literature, we test a range of potential contributing factors together, in a single model, and with causal interpretation. We find that factors that feature in the traditional theory on voter decisions, competitiveness and number of other voters, do not affect the rate of informal voting. Instead, we find that more candidates on the ballot results in higher levels of informal voting. This effect is present regardless of the level of education, which indicates that it is likely to be associated with a decision by the voter to abstain rather than an error. We conclude that making the way voters can express their preferences as simple as possible would be beneficial for reducing wasted votes.
Organizer
Shintaro Yamaguchi
 

※ 2020年1月 修士論文報告会 Master's Thesis Presentations ※

1.下記の予定は変更の可能性もありますのでご注意下さい

(Please note that the following schedule might be changed)。

2.発表は基本的に日本語で行われます

(Presentations are basically in Japanese)。

発表者の方へ

発表論文についてはCIRJEにて印刷し、当日会場にて配布いたします。つきましては、下記の期日までに最終稿のファイルまたはハードコピーをご提出ください。

 

発表論文提出期限(厳守):

1月20日(月)発表者=1月17日(金)午前9時(必着)まで

 

提出先:学術交流棟(小島ホール)6階 CIRJE (cirje[at mark]e.u-tokyo.ac.jp)

  1. 上記提出期限の日時を過ぎたものについてはいかなる理由があっても受け付けられません。ご自身で15部のコピーをご用意の上、当日会場にご持参ください。
  2. 論文は必ず最終稿をご提出ください。提出後の差し替えは受け付けませんので、差し替えなければならない事態が発生した場合には、論文はご自身で印刷して(15部)当日持参して頂くことになります。
  3. 添付ファイルが破損している等、ファイルが開けない場合は連絡を差し上げるため、ファイルで提出される方はお申し込み時に携帯電話番号等、当日すぐに連絡のつく連絡先をお書き添え下さい。
  4. 別途、正式な修士論文口述試験が行なわれるので、修士論文提出時に大学院係から配付される審査日程を参照のうえ、必ずご出席下さい。
  5. パソコン・ポインターはセミナー室ロッカー内の機器をご使用のうえ、設置・片づけは最初と最後の発表者が各自で行って下さい。(プロジェクターは会場に備え付けられています。)
  6. 発表用のスライドファイルを入れるUSBには、(他のファイルを入れずに)スライドファイルのみを入れて会場へお持ち下さい。(スライド以外の情報がたくさん入ったUSBが認識されない、というトラブルが起きているためです。)

Your thesis paper is distributed at the seminar venue.  Please send an electronic file of it to CIRJE at cirje [at mark] e.u-tokyo.ac.jp, so that CIRJE can duplicate it.  You can also bring its hardcopy directly to the CIRJE office on the 6th floor of Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall). 

 

The submission deadline is (please be punctual):
January 20 (Monday)…by 9:00am, January 17 (Friday)

 

Make sure that

  • Submission behind the deadline is not accepted for any reason.
  • The file/hardcopy submitted to CIRJE should be the final version.
  • You need to send your emergency contact information such as cell phone number together with your thesis file, so that CIRJE can immediately reach you in case the file cannot be opened/is broken.
  • Please put a file of your presentation slides only in your USB memory when you come to the seminar venue since it is sometimes not recognized when other files are inculded in the USB memory.

Those who missed the deadline or those who would like to revise the thesis paper after submission, are required to make 15 hardcopies of it and bring them to the seminar venue on presentation day.

You MUST attend an official oral examination in addition to this master thesis presentation:  for details, please see the schedule to be distributed by the Graduate Office when you submit your thesis.

Presenters can use equipment such as a computer and a pointer in a locker in the seminar venue on presentation day:  make sure they should be back into the position after use.


日時

January 20, 2020 (Monday) 9:00-14:30

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

修士論文報告会(Master's Thesis Presentations

9:00-9:30   Yun-Ting Yeh
(Readers: Wakamori, Y.Watanabe, (Marszalec))

"Complementarity between Drink Vending Machines and Food Vending Machines"


9:30-10:00  Kohyoh Kurokawa (Readers: Wakamori, Y. Watanabe, (Nirei))

"Dynamic Oligopoly of Heterogeneous Firms with Financial Constraints"


10:00-10:30  Kei Ikegami (Readers: Wakamori, Y. Watanabe, (Kawaguchi))

"5W1H of crowd management"


10:30-11:00  Jin Tanaka (Readers: Kawaguchi, Y. Sato, (Kawata))

"The geography and housing supply in Japan"


11:00-11:30  Shuhei Kainuma (Readers: Okazaki, Weese, (Nakabayashi))

"Suffrage Extension and Political Selection: Evidence from Early 20th Century Japan"


11:30-12:00  Matthew James Stuart-Box (Readers: Griffen, Wakamori, (Weese))

"Actions Speak Louder Than Words? The Impact of Company Announcements on Restructuring Gains in Japan"


13:00-13:30  Masayuki Okada (Readers: Yamaguchi, Kawaguchi, (Griffen))

"The Optimal Earnings Test and Retirement Behavior"


13:30-14:00  Masato Ikeda (Readers: Yamaguchi, Kawaguchi, (Griffen))

"Accurate measurement of child poverty with intra-household resource allocation in Japan"


14:00-14:30  Saisawat Samutpradit (Readers: Kawaguchi, Yamaguchi, (Griffen))

"Impact of Minimum Wages on Employment: Evidence from Thailand"

 

共催
Organizer
Shintaro Yamaguchi
日時

January 31, 2020 (Friday) 16:50-18:35  ※日時に注意

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

奥井亮(Ryo Okui) (Seoul National University)
"Estimation of panel group structure models with structural breaks in group memberships and coefficients"

共催
Abstract
This paper proposes an estimation method for a change in group membership structure and/or the values of coefficients. We consider linear panel data models with a grouped pattern of heterogeneity. In this context, a structural break can arise when the group membership structure and/or the value of one or more coefficients change during the sample period. Considering both possibilities is important since failure to account for a change in the group membership structure may result in detecting a spurious struc- tural break in the values of the coefficients. We propose a least squares estimator for such models that estimates the break point, group membership structure, and coefficients simultaneously. The estimator is consistent under a mild condition on the relative mag- nitude of the cross sectional sample size and the length of time series. The asymptotic distribution of the coefficient estimator is identical to that under known break point and known group membership structure. Monte Carlo simulations yield encouraging results. An empirical example illustrates use of the approach and associated inference.
Organizer
Katumi Shimotsu
日時

February 17, 2020 (Monday) 10:30-12:00 *Date Changed

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)1階 第1セミナー室
in Seminar Room 1 on the 1st floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告
Lu Zhang (CPB Netherlands)
"Do house prices matter for household consumption? Evidence from Dutch administrative data" [paper]
共催

東京大学社会科学研究所, ミクロ経済学ワークショップ

Abstract
To what extent do large drops in house prices drive household consumption? Using a large panel of Dutch households over the period 2007 to 2014, when house price dropped 27%, we find a significantly positive relationship between house prices and household (durable) consumption. A 10% change in home values leads to a 0.7% change in household consumption for homeowners, but a negligible response for renters. Young and middle-aged homeowners have larger consumption sensitivities to house prices than old households. Delving into the underlying channels, a pure wealth effect can explain part of the consumption sensitivity to house prices. Furthermore, we find strong evidence that house prices affect consumption through the borrowing collateral (and precautionary saving) channel.
Organizer
Ayako Kondo
日時

February 20, 2020 (Thursday) 10:30-12:00  ※日時、会場に注意

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)2階 第3セミナー室
in Seminar Room 3 on the 2nd floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

大西 健 (Ken Onishi) (Federal Reserve Board)
"Does the market correct anti-competitive effects of horizontal mergers?"

共催
Abstract
We empirically study the effects of mergers on quality, product space positions, and prices in the U.S. banking industry. We find that in the short-run, bank mergers increase market concentration, encourage bank entry, usher changes to branch networks (observed quality and position in the product space), and initiate interest rate (price) competition between the merged entity and its closest rivals. However, we find that in the long-run the merged entity reverts to pre-merger interest rates and closes branches, horizontally repositioning, but destroying some of the initial post-merger gains in quality, albeit maintaining a branch network larger than the acquirer's or target'spre-merger networks. In the long-run, the closest rival continues to raise deposit interest rates, while opening branches to occupythe product space vacated by the merged entity. Our results suggest that it is important to consider long-run dynamics when reviewing merger proposals, and to consider product provisions and quality in addition to prices when assessing the impact of mergers on consumers.  
Organizer
Naoki Wakamori
日時

February 27, 2020 (Thursday)16:30-18:00 ※日時、会場に注意

 

場所
東京大学大学院経済学研究科 学術交流棟 (小島ホール)2階 小島コンファレンスルーム
in Kojima Conference Room on the 2nd floor of the Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall) [Map]
報告

Chritian Dustmann (University College London and The Australian National University)
Knowledge Spillover and Individual Careers (joint with Thomas Cornelissen and Uta Schönberg)

共催
Abstract
Organizer
Daiji Kawaguchi

 

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