CIRJE-F-882 "An Econometric Analysis of Insurance Markets with Separate Identification for Moral Hazard and Selection"
Author Name

Sugawara, Shinya and Yasuhiro Omori

Date March 2013
Full Paper   PDF file
Remarks Subsequently published as Shinya Sugawara and Yasuhiro Omori Computational Economics (2016) in Computational Economics, 50-3, 473–502. October 2017. DOI:10.1007/s10614-016-9594-z
Abstract
  

This paper proposes a simple microeconometric framework that can separately identify moral hazard and selection problems in insurance markets. Our econometric model is equivalent to the approach that is utilized for entry game analyses. We employ a Bayesian estimation approach that avoids a partial identification problem. Due to the standard identification, we propose a statistical model selection method to detect an information structure that consumers face. Our method is applied to the dental insurance market in the United States. In this market, we find not only standard moral hazard but also advantageous selection, which has an intuitive interpretation in the context of dental insurance.