Discussion Papers 2009


    You can see the details of each paper by clicking the underlined number of the discussion paper.

F-Series
J-Series


Number Authors Title Date
CIRJE-F-703 Ueda, Kazuo "The Structure of Japan's Financial Regulation and Supervision and the Role Played by the Bank of Japan" December 2009
CIRJE-F-702 Kubokawa, Tatsuya "A Review of Linear Mixed Models and Small Area Estimation" December 2009
CIRJE-F-701 Nakajima, Jouchi and Yasuhiro Omori "Stochastic Volatility Model with Leverage and Asymmetrically Heavy-Tailed Error Using GH Skew Student's t-Distribution" December 2009
CIRJE-F-700 Ishihara, Tsunehiro and Yasuhiro Omori "Efficient Bayesian Estimation of a Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Model with Cross Leverage and Heavy-Tailed Errors" December 2009
CIRJE-F-699 Asai, Manabu, Massimiliano Caporin and Michael McAleer "Block Structure Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models" December 2009
CIRJE-F-698 Fujii, Masaaki, Yasufumi Shimada and Akihiko Takahashi "A Market Model of Interest Rates with Dynamic Basis Spreads in the presence of Collateral and Multiple Currencies" December 2009; Revised in April 2011
CIRJE-F-697 Fujii, Masaaki and Akihiko Takahashi "A Survey on Modeling and Analysis of Basis Spreads" December 2009; Revised in February 2012
CIRJE-F-696 Takahashi, Akihiko and Toshihiro Yamada "An Asymptotic Expansion with Malliavin Weights: An Application to Pricing Discrete Barrier Options" December 2009; Revised in January 2010
CIRJE-F-695 Takahashi, Akihiko and Toshihiro Yamada "An Asymptotic Expansion with Push-Down of Malliavin Weights" December 2009; Revised in January 2010
CIRJE-F-694 Sato, Kiyotaka, Zhaoyong Zhang and Michael McAleer "Identifying Shocks in Regionally Integrated East Asian Economies with Structural VAR and Block Exogeneity" December 2009
CIRJE-F-693 Allen, David E., Michael McAleer and Marcel Scharth "Realized Volatility Risk" December 2009; Revised in January 2010
CIRJE-F-692 Ueda, Kazuo "Non-Traditional Monetary Polices: G7 Central Banks during 2007-2009 and the Bank of Japan during 1998-2006" November 2009
CIRJE-F-691 Chang, Chia-Lin and Michael McAleer "Daily Tourist Arrivals, Exchange Rates and Volatility for Korea and Taiwan" November 2009
CIRJE-F-690 Ishihara, Tsunehiro and Yasuhiro Omori "Multivariate Stochastic Volatility with Cross Leverage" November 2009
CIRJE-F-689 Nakajima, Jouchi, Tsuyoshi Kunihama, Yasuhiro Omori and Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter "Generalized Extreme Value Distribution with Time-Dependence Using the AR and MA Models in State Space Form" November 2009
CIRJE-F-688 Kubokawa, Tatsuya "Conditional and Unconditional Methods for Selecting Variables in Linear Mixed Models" November 2009
CIRJE-F-687 Chang, Chia-Ling, Thanchanok Khamkaew, Michael McAleer and Roengchai Tansuchat "Interdependence of International Tourism Demand and Volatility in Leading ASEAN Destinations" November 2009
CIRJE-F-686 McAleer, Michael and Marcelo C. Medeiros "Forecasting Realized Volatility with Linear and Nonlinear Models" October 2009
CIRJE-F-685 Chang, Chia-Lin, Thanchanok Khamkaew and Michael McAleer "A Panel Threshold Model of Tourism Specialization and Economic Development" October 2009
CIRJE-F-684 Hammoudeh, Shawkat, Yuan Yuan, Michael McAleer and Mark A. Thompson "Precious Metals-Exchange Rate Volatility Transmissions and Hedging Strategies" October 2009
CIRJE-F-683 da Veiga, Bernardo, Felix Chan and Michael McAleer "It Pays to Violate: How Effective are the Basel Accord Penalties?" October 2009
CIRJE-F-682 Shiraya, Kenichiro, Akihiko Takahashi and Masashi Toda "Pricing Barrier and Average Options under Stochastic Volatility Environment" October 2009; Revised in March 2010
CIRJE-F-681 Shiraya, Kenichiro and Akihiko Takahashi "Pricing Average Options on Commodities" October 2009; Revised in May 2010
CIRJE-F-680 Tansuchat, Roengchai, Chia-Lin Chang and Michael McAleer "Modelling Long Memory Volatility in Agricultural Commodity Futures Returns" October 2009
CIRJE-F-679 Braun, Richard Anton and Tomoyuki Nakajima "Uninsured Countercyclical Risk: An Aggregation Result and Application to Optimal Monetary Policy" October 2009; Revised in February 2011
CIRJE-F-678 Braun, Richard Anton, Huiyu Li and John Stachurski "Computing Densities: A Conditional Monte Carlo Estimator" October 2009
CIRJE-F-677 Hakim, Abdul and Michael McAleer "Dynamic Conditional Correlations in International Stock, Bond and Foreign Exchange Markets: Emerging Markets Evidence" October 2009
CIRJE-F-676 Hakim, Abdul and Michael McAleer "VaR Forecasts and Dynamic Conditional Correlations for Spot and Futures Returns on Stocks and Bonds" October 2009
CIRJE-F-675 Khamkaew, Tanchanok, Roengchai Tansuchat, Chia-Lin Chang and Michael McAleer "Modelling Conditional Correlations in the Volatility of Asian Rubber Spot and Futures Returns" October 2009; Revised in November 2009
CIRJE-F-674 Tabuchi, Takatoshi "Hotelling's Spatial Competition Reconsidered" September 2009
CIRJE-F-673 Matsushima, Hitoshi "Implementation and Mind Control" September 2009
CIRJE-F-672 Wiphatthanananthakul, Chatayan and Michael McAleer "Simple Expected Volatility (SEV) Index: Application to SET50 Index Options" September 2009
CIRJE-F-671 Areosa, Waldyr Dutra, Michael McAleer and Marcelo C. Medeiros "Moment-Based Estimation of Smooth Transition Regression Models with Endogenous Variables" September 2009
CIRJE-F-670 Ling, Shiqing and Michael McAleer "A General Asymptotic Theory for Time Series Models" September 2009
CIRJE-F-669 Asai, Manabu, Michael McAleer and Marcelo C. Medeiros "Modelling and Forecasting Noisy Realized Volatility" September 2009
CIRJE-F-668 Hammoudeh, Shawkat M., Yuan Yuan and Michael McAleer "Exchange Rate and Industrial Commodity Volatility Transmissions and Hedging Strategies" September 2009
CIRJE-F-667 McAleer, Michael, Juan-Angel Jimenez-Martin and Teodosio Pérez-Amaral "Optimal Risk Management Before, During and After the 2008-09 Financial Crisis" September 2009
CIRJE-F-666 Kubokawa, Tatsuya "Higher Order Corrections in MSE Estimation and Confidence Intervals in Linear Mixed Models" September 2009
CIRJE-F-665 Bartolomé, Ana, Michael McAleer Vicente Ramos and Javier Rey-Maquieira "Risk Management for International Tourist Arrivals: An Application to the Balearic Islands, Spain" September 2009
CIRJE-F-664 Bartolomé, Ana, Michael McAleer Vicente Ramos and Javier Rey-Maquieira "Cruising is Risky Business" September 2009
CIRJE-F-663 Hakim, Abdul and Michael McAleer "Modelling the Interactions Across International Stock, Bond and Foreign Exchange Markets" September 2009
CIRJE-F-662 Bian, Guorui, Michael McAleer and Wing-Keung Wong "A Trinomial Test for Paired Data When There are Many Ties" September 2009
CIRJE-F-661 Huang, Jian, Masahito Kobayashi and Michael McAleer "Testing the Box-Cox Parameter in an Integrated Process" September 2009
CIRJE-F-660 Macri, Joseph, Michael McAleer and Dipendra Sinha "On the Robustness of Alternative Rankings Methodologies For Australian and New Zealand Economics Departments" September 2009
CIRJE-F-659 McAleer, Michael, Bernardo da Veiga and Suhejla Hoti "Value-at-Risk for Country Risk Ratings" September 2009
CIRJE-F-658 Gibson, John and Bonggeun Kim "Non-Classical Measurement Error in Long-Term Retrospective Recall Surveys" September 2009
CIRJE-F-657 Asai, Manabu and Michael McAleer "Dynamic Conditional Correlations for Asymmetric Processes" August 2009
CIRJE-F-656 Asai, Manabu, Michael McAleer and Marcelo C. Medeiros "Asymmetry and Leverage in Realized Volatility" August 2009
CIRJE-F-655 Asai, Manabu and Michael McAleer "Alternative Asymmetric Stochastic Volatility Models" August 2009
CIRJE-F-654 Takahashi, Akihiko and Kohta Takehara "Asymptotic Expansion Approaches in Finance: Applications to Currency Options" August 2009
CIRJE-F-653 Takahashi, Akihiko, Yukihiro Tsuzuki and Akira Yamazaki "Hedging European Derivatives with the Polynomial Variance Swap under Uncertain Volatility Environments" August 2009
CIRJE-F-652 McAleer, Michael "The Ten Commandments for Optimizing Value-at-Risk and Daily Capital Charges" August 2009
CIRJE-F-651 Divino, Jose Angelo and Michael McAleer "Modelling and Forecasting Daily International Mass Tourism to Peru" August 2009
CIRJE-F-650 Divino, Jose Angelo and Michael McAleer "Modelling Sustainable International Tourism Demand to the Brazilian Amazon" August 2009
CIRJE-F-649 McAleer, Michael, Bing-Wen Huang, Hsiao-I Kuo, Chi-Chung Chen and Chia-Lin Chang "An Econometric Analysis of SARS and Avian Flu on International Tourist Arrivals to Asia" August 2009
CIRJE-F-648 Franses, Philip Hans, Michael McAleer and Rianne Legerstee "Does the FOMC Have Expertise, and Can It Forecast?" August 2009
CIRJE-F-647 Chang, Chia-Lin, Michael McAleer and Christine Lim "Modelling Short and Long Haul Volatility in Japanese Tourist Arrivals to New Zealand and Taiwan" August 2009
CIRJE-F-646 Iwai, Katsuhito "The Second End of Laissez-Faire: The Bootstrapping Nature of Money and the Inherent Instability of Capitalism" August 2009; Revised in October 2009
CIRJE-F-645 Lamichhane, Kamal and Yasuyuki Sawada "Disability and Returns to Education in a Developing Country" August 2009
CIRJE-F-644 McAleer, Michael, Juan-Angel Jimenez-Martin and Teodosio Pérez-Amaral "A Decision Rule to Minimize Daily Capital Charges in Forecasting Value-at-Risk" August 2009
CIRJE-F-643 McAleer, Michael, Juan-Angel Jimenez-Martin and Teodosio Pérez-Amaral "Has the Basel II Accord Encouraged Risk Management During the 2008-09 Financial Crisis?" August 2009
CIRJE-F-642 Chang, Chia-Lin, Biing-Wen Huang, Meng-Gu Chen and Michael McAleer "Modelling the Asymmetric Volatility in Hog Prices in Taiwan: The Impact of Joining the WTO" August 2009
CIRJE-F-641 Chang, Chia-Lin, Michael McAleer and Roengchai Tansuchat "Forecasting Volatility and Spillovers in Crude Oil Spot, Forward and Futures Markets" August 2009
CIRJE-F-640 Chang, Chia-Lin, Michael McAleer and Roengchai Tansuchat "Modelling Conditional Correlations for Risk Diversification in Crude Oil Markets" August 2009
CIRJE-F-639 Chang, Chia-Lin, Michael McAleer and Roengchai Tansuchat "Volatility Spillovers Between Crude Oil Futures Returns and Oil Company Stocks Return" August 2009
CIRJE-F-638 Caporin, Massimiliano and Michael McAleer "Do We Really Need Both BEKK and DCC? A Tale of Two Covariance Models" August 2009
CIRJE-F-637 Chang, Chia-Lin, Philip Hans Franses and Michael McAleer "How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan" August 2009
CIRJE-F-636 McAleer, Michael, Juan-Angel Jimenez-Martin and Teodosio Pérez-Amaral "What Happened to Risk Management During the 2008-09 Financial Crisis?" August 2009
CIRJE-F-635 Chu, LanFen, Michael McAleer and Chi-Chung Chen "How Volatile is ENSO?" August 2009
CIRJE-F-634 Kuo, Hsiao-I, Chi-Chung Chen and Michael McAleer "Estimating the Impact of Whaling on Global Whale Watching" August 2009
CIRJE-F-633 Datta, Gauri Sankar, Tatsuya Kubokawa, J. N. K. Rao and Isabel Molina "Estimation of Mean Squared Error of Model-based Small Area Estimators" August 2009
CIRJE-F-632 Kubokawa, Tatsuya "Corrected Empirical Bayes Confidence Intervals in Nested Error Regression Models" August 2009; revised in June 2009
CIRJE-F-631 Miyawaki, Koji, Yasuhiro Omori and Akira Hibiki "Bayesian Estimation of Demand Functions under Block Rate Pricing" August 2009
CIRJE-F-630 Fujii, Masaaki, Yasufumi Shimada and Akihiko Takahashi "A Note on Construction of Multiple Swap Curves with and without Collateral" July 2009; Revised in January 2010
CIRJE-F-629 Chen, Joe, Yun Jeong Choi, Kohta Mori, Yasuyuki Sawada and Saki Sugano "The Jump, Inertia, and Juvenization of Suicides in Japan" July 2009
CIRJE-F-628 Chen, Joe, Yun Jeong Choi, Kohta Mori, Yasuyuki Sawada and Saki Sugano "Socio-Economic Studies on Suicide: A Survey" July 2009
CIRJE-F-627 Kobayashi, Takao and Risa Sai "Investment Frictions versus Financing Frictions" July 2009
CIRJE-F-626 Oki, Ryoko and Noriyuki Yanagawa "Exclusive Dealing and Large Distributors" July 2009
CIRJE-F-625 Yamamoto, Kyo, Seisho Sato and Akihiko Takahashi "Probability Distribution and Option Pricing for Drawdown in a Stochastic Volatility Environment" June 2009
CIRJE-F-624 Takahashi, Akihiko and Kyo Yamamoto "Generating a Target Payoff Distribution with the Cheapest Dynamic Portfolio: an Application to Hedge Fund Replication" June 2009; Revised in March 2010 and February 2013
CIRJE-F-623 Kano, Takashi and James M. Nason "Business Cycle Implications of Internal Consumption Habit for New Keynesian Models" June 2009; Revised in August 2010 and December 2012
CIRJE-F-622 Aoki, Shuhei, Julen Esteban-Pretel, Tetsuji Okazaki and Yasuyuki Sawada "The Role of the Government in Facilitating TFP Growth during Japan's Rapid Growth Era" June 2009
CIRJE-F-621 Takahashi, Akihiko, Kohta Takehara and Masashi Toda "Computation in an Asymptotic Expansion Method" May 2009
CIRJE-F-620 Braun, Richard Anton, Huiyu Li and John Stachurski "Computing Densities and Expectations in Stochastic Recursive Economies: Generalized Look-Ahead Techniques" May 2009
CIRJE-F-619 Anderson, T. W., Naoto Kunitomo and Yukitoshi Matsushita "The Limited Information Maximum Likelihood Estimator as an Angle" May 2009
CIRJE-F-618 Shiraya, Kenichiro and Akihiko Takahashi "Pricing and Hedging of Long-term Futures and Forward Contracts by a Three-Factor Model" April 2009
CIRJE-F-617 Braun, R. Anton and Tomoyuki Nakajima "Pareto Optimal Pro-cyclical Research and Development" March 2009
CIRJE-F-616 Abe, Makoto "Customer Lifetime Value and RFM Data: Accounting Your Customers: One by One" March 2009
CIRJE-F-615 Kamiya, Kazuya and Takashi Shimizu "Stationary Monetary Equilibria with Strictly Increasing Value Functions and Non-Discrete Money Holdings Distributions: An Indeterminacy Result" March 2009
CIRJE-F-614 Kubokawa, Tatsuya and Muni S. Srivastava "Consistency of the Empirical Bayes Information Criterion for Selecting Variables in Linear Mixed Models" February 2009
CIRJE-F-613 Bosch, Mariano and Julen Esteban-Pretel "Cyclical Informality and Unemployment" February 2009
CIRJE-F-612 Kitano, Taiju and Hiroshi Ohashi "Did US Safeguards Resuscitate Harley-Davidson in the 1980s?" February 2009
CIRJE-F-611 Kunitomo, Naoto and Yukitoshi Matsushita "Asymptotic Expansions and Higher Order Properties of Semi-Parametric Estimators in a System of Simultaneous Equations" February 2009
CIRJE-F-610 Kasuya, Makoto "The Activities of a Japanese Bank in the Interwar Financial Centers: A Case of the Yokohama Specie Bank" January 2009
CIRJE-F-609 Myojo, Satoshi and Hiroshi Ohashi "Assessing the Consequences of a Horizontal Merger and its Remedies in a Dynamic Environment" January 2009
CIRJE-F-608 Ishida, Isao and Toshiaki Watanabe "Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of the Nikkei 225 Realized Volatility Using the ARFIMA-GARCH Model" January 2009
CIRJE-F-607 Tabuchi, Takatoshi "Self-organizing Marketplaces" January 2009
CIRJE-F-606 Matsushima, Hitoshi "Behavioral Aspects of Arbitrageurs in Timing Games of Bubbles and Crashes" January 2009


Number Authors Title Date
CIRJE-J-216 Okazaki, Tetsuji "Human Capital Formation in Mitsubishi Zaibatsu in Prewar Japan: Analysis of Personal History Data" December 2009
CIRJE-J-215 Fukuda, Shin-ichi "The Role of the Central Bank under the Japanese Financial Crisis: Zero Interest Rate, Quantitative Easing, and Credit Easing" December 2009
CIRJE-J-214 Ohashi, Hiroshi, Tsuyoshi Nakamura and Satoshi Myojo "Empirical Assessment of Merger and its Remedies: the Yawata-Fuji Case (1970)" September 2009
CIRJE-J-213 Okuno-Fujiwara, Masahiro, Hirokazu Takizawa, Noriyuki Yanagawa and Yasunori Watanabe "Communication and Coordination in Organizations" August 2009
CIRJE-J-212 Okazaki, Tetsuji "Industrial Organization in Japan between the Two World Wars" July 2009
CIRJE-J-211 Iwamoto, Yasushi "How Does Behavioral Economics Change Policies?" May 2009
CIRJE-J-210 Okazaki, Tetsuji "Industrial Organizaiton in the Early Stage of Japanese Economic Development" March 2009
CIRJE-J-209 Ohashi, Hiroshi and Keiji Saito "Farm Size, Productivity, and Speculative Motives in Agricultural Land: Why Japanese Farmers are So Small in Scale?" January 2009
CIRJE-J-208 Shiraya, Kenichiro, Akihiko Takahashi and Masashi Toda
"Pricing Average Options under Stochastic Volatility Models"
January 2009