CIRJE-F-165 "Can the Neuro Fuzzy Model Predict Stock Indexes Better than its Rivals?"
Author Name Lin, Chin-Shien, Haider A. Khan and Chi-Chung Huang
Date August 2002
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This paper develops a model of a trading system by using neuro fuzzy framework in order to better predict the stock index. Thirty well-known stock indexes are analyzed with the help of the model developed here. The empirical results show strong evidence of nonlinearity in the stock index by using KD technical indexes. The trading point analysis and the sensitivity analysis of trading costs show the robustness and opportunity for making further profits through using the proposed nonlinear neuro fuzzy system. The scenario analysis also shows that the proposed neuro fuzzy system performs consistently over time.